NFL win totals 2022: Bengals, Chiefs, Steelers amongst finest bets to beat over-under projections

The busiest a part of the 2022 NFL offseason has come and gone. Groups have rebuilt their rosters throughout free company and the 2022 NFL Draft and now, rosters are principally set for the remainder of the offseason.

Certain, there are nonetheless some high quality free brokers which can be but to be signed. Groups may even proceed to shuffle the back-end of their 90-man rosters as properly to scout depth within the league’s participant pool. However for essentially the most half, we all know the core of every NFL staff, and which means we are able to extra precisely assess how groups stack up towards their win totals.

Win complete bets at all times change into in style for NFL followers across the time of the schedule launch. The logic is that when we all know how a schedule is structured, we are able to discover worth picks among the many projected over/underneath win totals. As such, bettors will preserve a eager eye on the 2022 NFL schedule launch Thursday evening.

Which groups have the very best win totals for 2022, and which groups are you able to depend on to exceed (or fall in need of) these totals? This is all the pieces to learn about NFL win totals because the league releases its 2022 schedule.

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NFL win totals 2022

No NFL groups are projected to win extra video games than the Payments and Buccaneers. Each have projected win totals of 11.5, per DraftKings Sportsbook, however the Payments are thought of extra prone to go over that complete. Their over odds are -130 whereas the Bucs’ over odds are -110.

On the alternative finish of the spectrum, the Texans are the one staff with a sub-five win complete. DraftKings has given them a win complete of 4.5. They’re extensively anticipated to come back in underneath that quantity, as their odds of going underneath 4.5 are -150.

Beneath is a take a look at the projected win totals for 31 of the 32 NFL groups, by way of odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, in addition to the chances of every staff going over and underneath their projected win complete. The one staff but to be listed is the Browns (extra on that later).

Crew Win totals Over odds Beneath odds
Bears 6.5 -110 -105
Bengals 10 +110 -130
Payments 11.5 -130 +110
Broncos 10 -110 -110
Browns N/a N/a N/a
Buccaneers 11.5 -110 -110
Cardinals 9 +115 -135
Chargers 10 -115 -105
Chiefs 10.5 -115 -105
Colts 9.5 -130 +110
Commanders 7.5 -125 +105
Cowboys 10.5 -105 -115
Dolphins 9 +100 -120
Eagles 8.5 -140 +115
Falcons 5 +100 -120
49ers 10 -110 -110
Giants 7 -110 -110
Jaguars 6 -120 +100
Jets 5.5 -145 +120
Lions 6.5 +100 -120
Packers 11 -125 +105
Panthers 6 -105 -115
Patriots 8.5 -120 +100
Raiders 8.5 -110 -110
Rams 10.5 -110 -110
Ravens 9.5 -130 +100
Saints 8 -110 -110
Seahawks 5.5 -120 +100
Steelers 7.5 -120 +100
Texans 4.5 +125 -150
Titans 9.5 +115 -135
Vikings 9 +100 -120

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Finest over-under win complete bets

Bengals OVER 10 (+110)

The Bengals are recent off a Tremendous Bowl look, however sportsbooks do not appear to have a lot religion that they’ll repeat their success in 2022. They’re favored to put up underneath 10 wins, in order that creates nice worth for bettors which can be assured in Cincinnati.

There’s little purpose to count on a Bengals regression in 2022. The staff had one main weak spot final season — the offensive line — and stuck it by signing Alex Cappa, La’el Collins and Ted Karras in free company. Joe Burrow will take fewer hits and have extra time to throw because of these additions.

Additionally, the Bengals do not have all that robust of a schedule contemplating how sturdy the AFC is that this season. They need to have the ability to rack up some wins dealing with two of the NFL’s weaker divisions, the AFC East and NFC South. Their intradivisional NFC North play will show troublesome as at all times, however the Bengals have the personnel wanted to beat any staff. And the Bengals might get fortunate with a better matchup towards the Browns if quarterback Deshaun Watson is suspended.

The Bengals went 10-7 final season with an inferior roster and fewer high-level expertise. Burrow can also be now even additional faraway from the torn ACL he suffered throughout his rookie yr, too, so that ought to give the Bengals an opportunity to win 12 video games within the AFC. Betting over 10 right here looks as if a no brainer.

Patrick Mahomes

Chiefs OVER 10.5 (-115)

Andy Reid has been the coach of the Chiefs for 9 seasons. In seven of these 9 seasons, Kansas Metropolis has received at the least 11 video games. And through Patrick Mahomes’ 4 years as a starter, the Chiefs have by no means received fewer than 12 regular-season video games.

As such, betting the over on the Chiefs’ win complete looks as if a great wager. Certain, the staff is a bit completely different this yr than it was in 2021. They now not have Tyreek Hill and the competitors from the Broncos, Chargers and Raiders within the AFC West is stiff.

Even nonetheless, Mahomes and Reid have confirmed to be probably the greatest quarterback and head coach mixtures within the NFL. They are often trusted to win at the least 11 video games. In spite of everything, they began 3-4 final season and nonetheless managed to earn 12 wins. They need to simply put up 11 wins in 2022, particularly if they’ll keep away from a equally gradual begin.

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Panthers UNDER 6 (-115)

There are a number of groups to think about taking the underneath with at this juncture, however none is as clear-cut because the Panthers. Their win complete of six appears excessive when their quarterback state of affairs in addition to their listing of 2022 opponents.

Presently, the Panthers are anticipated to start out both Sam Darnold or third-round rookie Matt Corral at quarterback. Whereas Corral has upside, he may have time to develop on the NFL stage. If he is not able to play, it is going to be troublesome for the Panthers’ offense to maneuver the ball persistently, as Darnold was inaccurate (59.9 completion proportion) and turnover-prone (13 INTs) final season.

The Panthers’ quarterback points are regarding sufficient with out a troublesome schedule. Nonetheless, they should take care of a type of, too, as they’re taking part in groups from the AFC North and NFC West in 2022. These divisions are two of the three finest within the NFL, and the Panthers might be at a quarterback drawback in most of these matchups.

Carolina could possibly be saved a bit by matchups with the Lions, Giants and Falcons (twice), however even these could also be more durable than folks notice. As such, there’s little room for error on the Panthers’ schedule. Count on them to go underneath until Carolina’s protection can carry them or Corral can emerge as a strong starter.

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Steelers OVER 7.5 (-120)

Extremely, Mike Tomlin has by no means completed a season because the Steelers coach with a report under .500. He has at the least eight wins in every of his 15 seasons, and that features a 9-7-1 report in 2021. Tomlin achieved that regardless of having to make use of an over-the-hill Ben Roethlisberger at quarterback. His staff nonetheless made the playoffs because the No. 7 seed.

The Steelers ought to have an opportunity to put up the same report in 2022. Certain, there are questions on the quarterback place, with Kenny Pickett and Mitch Trubisky set to battle for the beginning job, however the reality is that both needs to be an improve over what Roethlisberger supplied final season. Possibly the Steelers might be a bit extra turnover-prone, however they will not be restricted to only the brief passing sport anymore both.

Pittsburgh performs in a tricky division that could possibly be a slog, however they need to be well-rested all through the season. They’re only set to travel 6,442 miles through the NFL season, which is by far the fewest within the NFL. They will not depart the Jap time zone regardless of taking part in in 9 highway video games.

As such, the Steelers needs to be recent. And outdoors of the AFC North video games, the staff has to play towards the AFC East and NFC South. There are many winnable video games in there for Pittsburgh, to allow them to definitely put up a profitable report. And even when not, getting eight wins is greater than doable.

Deshaun Watson

Why is not the Browns win complete listed?

There is just one staff that does not but have a win complete listed. That’s the Browns. Cleveland’s win complete is not accessible at DraftKings, and different sportsbooks are nearly definitely going to carry off on posting the road as properly.

Why is that? All of it stems from uncertainty surrounding the Browns’ quarterback place. They acquired Deshaun Watson through the 2022 NFL offseason, however he’s dealing with potential self-discipline from the NFL concerning the 20-plus circumstances of sexual assault and misconduct once more him.

Proper now, it is unknown whether or not Watson might be suspended. That makes it arduous to undertaking precisely what number of wins Cleveland may need, as sportsbooks legitimately do not know for what number of video games he would be the quarterback. There’s additionally little readability behind him, because the Browns are nonetheless holding onto Baker Mayfield however signed Jacoby Brissett through the offseason. That’s muddying the water a bit as properly.

The Browns’ win complete will finally be launched, but it surely will not come till we all know what lies forward for Watson. So, when you’re seeking to wager Cleveland’s over or underneath, you’ll have to be affected person.

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